Tag: real estate market

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In the world of investing, there is a prevalent temptation to try to time the market, to predict its ups and downs with precision. Many people believe that by jumping in and out of the market at the right moments, they can maximize their returns and avoid losses. However, history and the wisdom of seasoned investors and real estate professionals…cough, cough, your favorite Properties on the Potomac agent… have repeatedly shown that timing the market is an exercise in futility. Let’s shed some light on the fallacy of market timing and highlight the benefits of a strategic long-term approach to real estate.

1. The Myth of Perfect Timing:
Timing the real estate market involves predicting when to enter or exit the market with the expectation of making significant gains. Unfortunately, accurately predicting short-term fluctuations in the housing market is a daunting task. Real estate markets are influenced by numerous factors, such as economic conditions, interest rates, supply and demand, and local factors, making it nearly impossible to consistently time the market successfully.

2. Emotional Pitfalls and FOMO (fear of missing out):
Attempting to time the real estate market often leads to emotional decision-making, driven by the fear of missing out on potential profits. Buyers may rush into purchasing a home during a market upswing, fearing that prices will rise further, potentially overpaying for a property. On the other hand, sellers may hold onto their homes during a market downturn, hoping for prices to rebound, potentially missing out on better opportunities. Emotions can cloud judgment and lead to poor real estate decisions.

3. Long-Term Market Trends and Cycles:
Real estate markets are subject to cyclical patterns and long-term trends. While short-term fluctuations may occur, over the long term, real estate has historically shown overall growth. Instead of trying to time the market, buyers and sellers can benefit from understanding these broader trends and making informed decisions based on their individual circumstances and goals. A strategic long-term approach allows individuals to navigate the market cycles with greater stability and confidence.

4. Financial Considerations and Transaction Costs:
Timing the real estate market often involves frequent buying and selling, which comes with financial implications. Costs such as real estate agent commissions, closing costs, and potential capital gains taxes can eat into potential profits. Moreover, attempting to time the market may lead to hasty decisions, resulting in undesirable outcomes or the need for costly corrective actions. A long-term approach to real estate transactions minimizes unnecessary expenses and maximizes financial gains.

5. Location and Individual Circumstances:
The value of real estate is heavily influenced by location and individual circumstances. Factors such as job opportunities, local amenities, infrastructure development, and demographic shifts can significantly impact property values. Rather than focusing on market timing, individuals should prioritize thorough research and analysis of the local market conditions, as well as their own specific needs and financial situation. Making informed decisions based on these factors is more likely to yield favorable outcomes.

Timing the real estate market requires careful consideration and a comprehensive understanding of various factors. Don’t let the allure of market timing lead to unnecessary risks and missed opportunities. Instead, take a proactive approach by reaching out to our team of experienced real estate professionals.

Properties on the Potomac can provide valuable insights, personalized guidance, and assist you in making informed decisions tailored to your unique needs. Contact us at 703-624-8333 today to start your journey towards successful real estate transactions.

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The facts indicate that there is a market shift in progress. Higher interest rates with minimal inventory is spurring some sellers to remain aggressive when pricing their homes for sale. Last year at this time, some listings were selling for as much as 33% over their list prices. However, interest rates were in the low 3% range. In the end, it is about what buyers can afford to pay in a monthly payment.

The active homes (for sale) inventory across our region is at historic lows. The current Washington, D.C. Metro inventory is between a 30-60 day (depending on location) supply based on last week’s contract activities.

My market analysis disclosed that the active to under contract prices show a dramatic price disparity of 15% to 60% (location based) higher than the average prices of the properties that went under contract. Accordingly, the average days on the market for the active properties is also 33-57 days longer (about 66%) than the under contract properties.

In our recently wild market, it was impossible to underprice a property because it would get bid up to above its market value. Therefore, the real estate agent’s role was that of order taker and contract dissector. That condition has now changed. Now, the experienced, knowledgeable agent will analyze the market’s activity, study recent comparable sales, and recommend the best pricing for your property to get is sold as quickly as possible because that is when the optimal price will be received.

Under today’s changing circumstances, we often hear, “If they don’t like our price, they can make us an offer.” The reality is that they will not make an offer and will buy another property that they deem better priced. Buyers do not want to get too creative or too aggressive. They do not want to enter into negotiations that could end badly while losing better opportunities.

In any market, an overpriced property will languish. In fact, not only will the property languish, but it will ultimately sell for below market value. The chart below shows how the initial price affects the sales price. You can see the importance of pricing the property correctly from the outset.

If a property is overpriced by five percent, it is not unusual to have a final sales price of 3%-5% below actual market value. Why give up value on the gamble that a buyer will overpay in today’s market?

In our industry, the saying goes, “The first offer is usually the best offer.” The first offer typically comes in quickly with a good price and strong terms. Missing out on that first offer will diminish the seller’s ultimate return.

How is market value determined? The skilled, experienced, and knowledgeable real estate agent knows their market, their buyers’ expectations, and is well connected with the top agents in the area. Their wealth of knowledge and experience will help you make the correct pricing decision.

The bottom line: properties that are priced in line with buyer affordability are selling quickly. Properties pushing prices beyond market values are staying on the market.

Are prices falling? No. Many homes are being priced incorrectly and need reductions to bring them in line with actual market values.

If you are thinking about selling your property this year, do yourself a favor and call one of our exceptional agents for a market analysis at 703-624-8333. You will know that the price you set on your property will be competitive, thus bringing you the best returns.